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"Corect Score" Betting System |
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Think you can predict the scores? Good luck, here are some tips on how to use the good odds you'll get if you're a maestro at calling the scores. Correct scores are hard to predict, hence you'll get around 7/1 or above for getting it right on each game. If you take all 10 Premiership games one week and try to call the scores you'll probably find that you'll get 2, maybe 3 correct at most. Some weeks you'll get none at all! Two out of ten is good though, you'll be getting at least 7/1 twice out of 10 unit stakes, which is profit.
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"Half Time / Full Time" Betting System |
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SYSTEM I An analysis of the 89 games played in the EPL so far this season shows that an interesting opportunity was available for systematic betting of double results (result at half time and full time). Interested here in double results where one team is winning at half time and the match ends in a draw. The odds for this are generally around 16/1. William Hill online seems to give 16/1 for both of these outcomes, irrespective of who is playing, except in extreme circumstances. Ladbrokes however tend to have one of these outcomes at 14/1 (weaker team scores first) and the other at 20/1 (stronger team scores first). We can safely say that you can get a minimum of 16/1 for these bets. |
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"Predicting The Exact Score" Betting System |
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Statistics from the major European leagues over several years show that the number of goals scored in a soccer game is poission distributed. |
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"Oscar's Grind" Betting System |
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The best way to employ the Oscar's Grind Betting System is to place even money bets. You start by betting single units on each succesive loss. After your initial win, you increase your wager to two units. You keep wagering two units until you win again. At this stage you need to calculate how much your next wager will be to recover your losses plus an extra unit. Oscar's Grind may be the ultimate in maximizing the number of small wins in relation to the large losses. |
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"Any Which Way But Lose" Betting System |
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Choose a team to win and cover the draw, too. If they slip up and let a 90th minute equaliser in, you've the comfort of knowing you get your entire stake back. The Scenario : You see a team playing at home, you're sure they're gonna win, but there's a slight chance they could concede a late goal and draw. You're anxious to put too much cash on the straight win.... The Solution : Cover all scenarios but the team losing. This is great for those 'sure fire' wins that slip up. |
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"Winner's Edge" Betting System |
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(A variant of the Labouchere System in Reverse)
This system is like the Cancellation System above with this variation: When winning, ( add the first and last number in the sequence ), the first time, and then 3 numbers until you lose. If you lose, add that to the end of the sequence and bet only the first(only one) number not crossed off. If you lose again, go to betting the unit bet, to preserve capital. I have found one needs about 40 times the first number in the sequence when starting as a bankroll , with the initial numbers being about 40-20-20-20 % (ie $50 sequence would be written: $20-10-10-10) Your bankroll taken to the table will be $1000.00.This means, It is found that you only have to win 30% of the time to be successful!
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The name of this system says it all. It is similar to the Paroli system. It is based on the premise that you can win four times in a row. Your initial bet is 1 unit, the second 3 units, the third 2 units and the fourth 6 units. Let's assume that each unit is $10 and the odds are 1:1 - even money. The first bet is $10. When winning, $10 is added to the $20 on the table making the second bet $30. When winning again on the second bet, there would be $60 on the table. Of this you take down $40 and the third bet is now $20. If the third bet wins, you will have $40 on the table to which you add $20 making a total of $60 for the fourth bet.
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"Backing The Outsiders" Betting System |
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The odds compilers working for the bookmakers can determine the probability of the outcomes in a soccer match with great accuracy. Not very surprising, after all, as the odds compilers can name themselves professional sports experts thanks to their occupation. Nevertheless, the odds offered by bookmakers do rarely represent the “correct” probability of the outcomes of a soccer match – even when then profit margin has been removed from the odds. E.g. if the two teams are offered at the same price, it does not necessarily mean that the probabilities of each side winning the game are equal. The usual reason for this is that the bookmakers take more factors into account than just the match probability estimation. Obviously, the bookmakers want to maximize their profits rather than the correctness of their probability estimations. |
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"Kelly's Criteria" Betting System |
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Kelly's Criteria was developed in 1956 by John L. Kelly. Kelly´s theory is designed to maximize the growth of your bank roll (e.g. a betting fund) over the long term by determining the optimal stake on a bet. It requires that your percentage-estimations are better than the bookmakers estimations. In case of that, the following formula will tell you the optimal amount of your fund to bet: Formula: ( (odds x estimation) - 1 ) / (odds - 1) If you multiply the result with 100, you know how many percentages to bet of your fund. |
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"d'Alembert" Betting System |
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Another popular mathematical system is named after Jean Le Rond d'Alembert, a French mathematician and physicist who was born in 1717. His theory on the "Law of Equilibrium" supposes a balance of successes and failures of certain events if you consider a long series of these events. The d'Alembert, sometimes referred to as the "Pyramid System," has you increase your bet by one unit after a loss and decrease your bet by one unit after a win. The sequence and amount raised or lowered can be varied to suit particular games and odds.
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"The Labouchere" Betting System |
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(Cancellation / Labby Betting System) The Labouchere system was named for a minister in Queen Victoria's service. Labouchere is credited for using the system although it is not known if he invented it. This betting method, also called the "Cancellation System," involves some record keeping. The player begins with a series of numbers – any series that he wishes to use. The series chosen will tally up to the number of units that the system player is trying to win. The player begins by betting the sum of the first and last number in the series. If the bettor wins this wager, he will cross out both of these numbers. If he loses, he will add the last bet made to the end of the series. Let's say, for example that the series used is 1-2-3-4-5-6. If the player is successful in canceling out the entire line, he will win exactly 21 units, or 1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6. Let's play our example out to illustrate the mechanics of this system. The "x" denotes numbers that are canceled out after a winning bet:
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"Row Of Numbers" Betting System |
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The German word for this system is "Die Abstreichmetode". Row of numbers is not as tough as Martingale though. While Martingale can quickly give you your stakes back including a profit, Row of numbers does not repay your losses that quick, but it does not lead to big stakes either which Martingale does. Row of numbers gives you more flexibility compared to Martingale because you can adjust your stakes in a more suitable way. The disadvantage is that this system requires more effort from you, as you have to make a row of numbers on a piece of paper and add numbers when you lose, and remove numbers when you win. You need to have better control with your betting, so to say.
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"Fibonacci" Betting System |
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1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34. Go up one step with each loss, down 2 steps with each win. Note that every win pays for the two losses before it. Example: 1. Bet $1 until you lose. Then bet $2. 2. If you win at $2, then return to step 1. If you lose, then bet $3. 3. If you win at $3, then return to step 1. If you lose, then bet $5. 4. If you win at $5, then return to step 2. If you lose, then bet $8.
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"Cover Yourself" Betting System |
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Bet in twos. Where possible, cover your bets so that if one loses, the other makes up for the loss. If both come in you've won. Whatever your strategy, always try cover yourself. If you're placing £1 on a bet that looks like a long shot, and although 1 in 100 times it may come in and make you a fair bit of profit, place a bet on something you're think has a good chance of coming in that will win you that £1 you're likely to lose on a longshot. |
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"The Long Shot (Lucky 15)" Betting System |
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Choose 4 long shot outcomes at around 16/1 and place a £1.50 stake that could return more than £10,000! You still win if you only get 1 out of 4 too. |
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"Grand Martingale" Betting System |
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One notable variation to the Martingale is the Grand Martingale. The only thing "grand" about this system is the fashion in which you will lose your money. This more aggressive cousin has you double your last bet and add one more unit. If our betting unit is $5, then the progression would look like this:
1) $5 on red. You lose [20/38]^1, (52.63% of the time) and win 47.37% of the time. 2) $10 +$5 on red. You lose [20/38]^2, or 27.70% and win 72.30% of the time. 3) $30 +$5 on red. You lose [20/38]^3, (14.58% of the time) and win 85.42%. 4) $70 +$5 on red. Will have you lose [20/38]^4, (7.67%) and win 92.33% of the time. 5) $150 +$5 on red. You now lose [20/38]^5, or 4.04% and win 95.96% of the time.
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"Professional" Betting System |
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This method relies on a staking plan and its success depends upon following the instructions exactly! Your aim will be for target profit, T, of 5 points per race. You may use a bank of £200 and give each 'point' a 50p or £1 value. Once you have decided the amount you wish to nominate for each 'point', this should never be altered during a racing sequence. It is only a matter of time before you have a win even if you know nothing about racing. The reason you have to settle for a relatively low cash value for each point is that this amount multiplies on each loser. Lets imagine you had ten losers in a row, if you had given each point a value of £1 per point then your stake for the 11th bet would be to recover £55. If you had given each point a value of 25p then you would be aiming to recover £10.25. Consider the risks you are taking and compare this with the profit you wish to make! |
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This system is ideal for beginners as it is one of the lowest risk systems as players do not have to have a large bankroll or wager large sums from their bankroll. Using the parlay betting system is easy, you simply let your wager ride on winning bets, determining how long to let your wager ride is the main issue of this system. It could get a little frightening on a winning streak but remember you have only wagered your initial bet. |
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Betting the same fixed amount on each play is known as Flat Betting. With this simple strategy you establish a bet size, say $100, and you bet this same amount each time whether you win or lose. Of course this flat bet size could be too large or too small in proportion to your bankroll if your stake grows from $1000 to $5000, or shrinks back down to $500! On the upside, the Flat Bet is very conservative, although its fixed amount bet constrains bankroll growth and makes it difficult to have a really outstanding year. On the downside, a severe string of losses can completely decimate a Flat Betting bankroll as the bet size becomes increasingly over-sized relative to a shrinking bankroll!
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"Looking For Value" Betting System |
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Avoid extra low odds, don't bet on the obvious, and look for those odds where the bookies just might have it wrong for once. Sometimes a game might look like a sure-fire bet, so you think you might just put £20 on it. Although 9 times out of 10 you might win, that 1 time you lose you'll lose £20! You've got to weigh up whether it's really worth betting on a game like this. Always consider that if you bet on a game multiple times, would you end up winning?
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"Ten Percent" Betting System |
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With each loss, go up 10% rounded to the nearest non-zero bet unit, with each win go down 10%. After you break even, then with each extra win, return halfway back to the lowest bet. This is identical to D’Alembert except that if you hit $20, you then go up and down $2. If you hit $30, you then go up and down $3. Etc. Be sure to keep track of your total since the last time you saw $1, and reduce bets by 50% after each win that causes a total net win or that breaks even.
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Spread betting has become very popular in recent years, due to the possible massive returns on low investments. But it's also possible to lose very large amounts indeed! Spread betting is the most exciting method of betting, but it's not for novices. You should be aware of the risks with spread betting, and be sure you understand the rules. In spread betting, you do not know excactly how much you will win/lose before the event has finished. Your return will vary with every goal scored, every booking, every corner, etc. It's not like fixed odds betting. Spread betting is much more "dangerous", and as a result, more exciting. In spread betting, you will win a lot more than in fixed odds betting, if you are better to predict than the bookmaker. However, you may risk to lose quite a lot, if you fail to predict better than the bookmaker. Due to the nature of spread betting, one bad bet can make huge inrows in your account. |
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"Martingale" Betting System |
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The Martingale system is a very old and extremely simple system. It is based on the probability of losing streaks and is usually applied to 'even money' bets. How the Martingale system works? Every time you lose, you double your previous bet and continue doing so until you win. The theory behind this is that when you do eventually win you will have covered your previous bets and have one betting unit profit. You start with one bet. If you win, you start again with one bet. If you lose, you double your bet. Each time you lose, you double your last lost bet. Eventually you are bound to win. When you win you would recover all your lost bets plus one unit profit against your initial wager. Although infallible in theory, the Martingale system requires a large bankroll, has a very low return and is a very risky one because of the maximum bet limits imposed by the betting companies. If you run out of money or reach the company limit, you can lose a lot with no chance to recover your losses.
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"Paroli (Anti-Martingale)" Betting System |
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This system is in a way the opposite of the Martingale system. You start with one bet and you increase your bet when you win rather than when you lose. However, you will need to plan a betting procedure whereby you know how far you will let the bet build before you take it down to the initial starting bet and how much to raise after each win. The advantage of this system is that you do not require a large bankroll. It lets the profit run and cuts short the losses. We increase the stakes whenever we win, and restore them when we lose. Thus we benefit from winning streaks, a feature unused in Martingale. You cannot expect a good streak to last forever, so you must decide over a number of rounds you will let the money ride.
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Assumes you will win before you reach the bet limit and can bankroll the losing run. Bet an initial amount (N). For each win, on the next bet N again. For each lose bet N*x+N where x is the number of losing bets. Thus if you finally win, you will recover all bet money, plus N for every loss. The progression would look like this on a $5 bet. 5, 15, 35, 75, 155, 315, etc. As with all negative progressions, and this one even more so, it requires more capital and is employed to force a winning outcome following a losing streak. |
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"Contra d'Alembert" Betting System |
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A reverse (contra) D'Alembert would involve increasing your bet one unit after a win and decreasing your bet one unit after a loss. This means there are fewer large wins and more smaller losses but also that the wins are likely to get fairly well wiped out with one loss after a group of wins For the sequence, WWWL: | Units Bet | Result | Bankroll | | 1 | +1 | +1 | | 2 | +2 | +3 | | 3 | +3 | +6 | | 4 | -4 | +2 |
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The 'plateau philosophy' says you should recalculate your stake whenever your account upgrades to a certain, predefined level. For instance, whenever your fund increases by 25%. Some say that you shouldn't downgrade your stake if you fall down through a level, because if you stick with the higher stake it will speed up your return to the top.
As any other staking system, Plateau has a number of variations. For instance, you could decide to increase your stake by 25% whenever the capital increases for 12.5% or something like that. To go to the extremes would be to upgrade your stakes whenever your gambling fund grows. So, you decide that your 10/10 bet is 2 % of your all-time record high gambling fund, or something like that. Of course, increase of the profit is followed by an increase of risk. |
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"Labouchere In Reverse" Betting System |
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A reverse Labouchere means crossing off the two outer numbers each time you lose and increasing the size of your bet to the end of the row every time you win. Add winnings to the sequence instead of losses. If you win, add one number (the winning units) to the end of the series. If you lose, delete two outside numbers. Put an appropriate target of, say, 20 units profit for 'even money' bets (less for higher odds), and when reached begin another sequence. Sequence commencement is 1,2,3,4 so you risk only 10 units per sequence.
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